82nd
Accuracy Rank

DanAGS

About:
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0.010166

Relative Brier Score

225

Forecasts

17

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 1 19 281 225 608
Comments 0 0 8 7 59
Questions Forecasted 1 16 41 28 58
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 23 17 80
 Definitions
New Badge
DanAGS
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
DanAGS
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (+2%)
Yes
Nov 4, 2024 to May 4, 2025
97% (-2%)
No
Nov 4, 2024 to May 4, 2025
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New Badge
DanAGS
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction

I think being the world's most valuable company is a big statement, I’ll start close to the crowd.

Files
New Prediction
DanAGS
made their 18th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
0% (0%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
0% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia

Staying at zero. No news to point otherwise.

Files
New Prediction
DanAGS
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
4% (-1%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
1% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo

Going with the crowd.

Files
New Prediction
DanAGS
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (-1%)
Estonia
0% (-1%)
Latvia
0% (-1%)
Lithuania
Lack of news.
Files
New Prediction
DanAGS
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 24%
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
5% (-5%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
95% (+5%)
More than or equal to 28%

Updating based on the comment from @404_NOT_FOUND 

Files
New Prediction
DanAGS
made their 18th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
8% (-2%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
4% (-1%)
Su-35 fighter jets

Time.

Files
Files
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