Confirmed previous forecast
12.269211
Relative Brier Score
213
Forecasts
10
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 10 | 11 | 88 | 88 | 459 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 42 |
| Questions Forecasted | 10 | 11 | 24 | 24 | 81 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces retake control over Khartoum city by 31 March 2026?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
Yes
92%
(0%)
No
Show more
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
87%
(0%)
Yes
13%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
74%
(0%)
Yes
26%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
0%
(0%)
30 days
0%
(0%)
31-60 days
35%
(0%)
61-90 days
65%
(0%)
91 days or more
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
62%
(0%)
Yes
38%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
17%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 17, 2025 to Jun 17, 2027
83%
(0%)
No
Dec 17, 2025 to Jun 17, 2027
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
73%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 17, 2025 to Jun 17, 2026
27%
(0%)
No
Dec 17, 2025 to Jun 17, 2026
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 17, 2025 to Jun 17, 2026
80%
(0%)
No
Dec 17, 2025 to Jun 17, 2026
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Estonia
13%
(0%)
Latvia
14%
(0%)
Lithuania