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PeterStamp

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My name is Peter Stamp. I´m a 1971 born german financial advisor and insurance broker.

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Forecasted Questions
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On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
 18 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:18PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 15% 11%
No 85% 89%

Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
 53 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:18PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
No 100% 100%

Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 20 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:18PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications 45% 38%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP 45% 56%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP 10% 6%

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:19PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 0%
No 99% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 100%

Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:20PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 2% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Dec 25, 2024 3%
No 98% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Dec 25, 2024 97%

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
 61 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:22PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:23PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 27 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:23PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 2%
Latvia 0% 1%
Lithuania 0% 1%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:30PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 45 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:30PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 2%
No 100% 99%
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