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PeterStamp

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My name is Peter Stamp. I´m a 1971 born german financial advisor and insurance broker.

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Forecasted Questions
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Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
 28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:31PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 9% 6%
No 91% 94%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:32PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 9% 7%
Armenia 1% 1%
Georgia 3% 3%
Kazakhstan 1% 1%

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
 39 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:33PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 5%
No 99% 95%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 22 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:33PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 0% 4%
Kyiv 0% 1%
Odesa 0% 1%

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
 41 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:33PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg) 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg) 1% 1%
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg) 99% 99%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 23 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:33PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 33% 25%
No 67% 75%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 55 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:35PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 0% 2%
Oman 0% 2%
Qatar 0% 1%
Saudi Arabia 0% 3%
Tunisia 0% 1%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:35PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 1%
No 100% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 99%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
 14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:35PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 20% 22%
No 80% 78%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
 26 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 96% 96%
No 4% 4%
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