Confirmed previous forecast
1.88448
Relative Brier Score
268
Forecasts
42
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 15 | 318 | 268 | 929 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 95 | 77 | 415 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 15 | 56 | 40 | 80 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 51 | 42 | 287 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
65%
(0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
Yes
45%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
45%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to Nov 2, 2025
55%
(0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to Nov 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(-20%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to Nov 2, 2025
50%
(+20%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to Nov 2, 2025
The retaliation of Iran might not be as strong as thought before.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
(+40%)
Yes
10%
(-40%)
No
Seems like the people of that country will follow Cuban example. they wont rise against the tyrany
Files