Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
22
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 4 | 6 | 184 | 22 | 966 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 422 |
| Questions Forecasted | 4 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 82 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 289 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 16, 2025 to Apr 16, 2026
50%
(0%)
No
Apr 16, 2025 to Apr 16, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 25, 2025 to Sep 25, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 25, 2025 to Sep 25, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
100%
(+5%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Updating, timeframe.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Follow up
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(+10%)
Yes
30%
(-10%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Putin replied to Trump's ceasefire suggestion by insisting that, as a condition for agreeing to it, the global community—not only Ukraine—must recognize the territorial annexations carried out since 2014, block Ukraine from joining NATO, and guarantee the absence of peacekeeping forces. Additional conditions were raised, but these are the core requirements.
Due to the timeframe, it's more likely.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
In order to be accurate, i should follow up the events closely....
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
Yes
40%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Hello, Without a specific trigger—like a major military setback or a breakthrough in talks—it’s a coin toss, leaning slightly toward "yes"
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Nato pushing fwd
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files