112th

Accuracy Rank

EQ

About:

Power Forecaster - Oct 2024

Active Forecaster

Active Forecaster

Power Forecaster - Sep 2024

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-0.289251

Relative Brier Score

51

Forecasts

1

Upvotes

Forecasting Activity

Forecasting Calendar

	Past Week	Past Month	Past Year	This Season	All Time
Forecasts	12	48	313	296	347
Comments	0	0	2	2	2
Questions Forecasted	12	43	63	59	66
Upvotes on Comments By This User	0	0	2	1	2
Definitions

New Prediction

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?

EQ made their 14th forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

Forecast Window

0% (0%)

Yes

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025

100% (0%)

No

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025

-

Files

Nov 19, 2024 05:00PM UTC

New Prediction

Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?

EQ made their 3rd forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

Forecast Window

3% (-3%)

Yes

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025

97% (+3%)

No

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025

-

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:39AM UTC

New Prediction

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

EQ made their 7th forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

42% (+4%)

Yes

58% (-4%)

No

-

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

EQ made their 10th forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

7% (0%)

Yes

93% (0%)

No

Confirmed previous forecast

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

Will the Syrian Democratic Forces collapse, fragment, or lose control over key territories, specifically Manbij, Raqqa, or Deir ez-Zor, before 1 October 2026?

EQ made their 2nd forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

42% (0%)

Yes

58% (0%)

No

Confirmed previous forecast

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?

EQ made their 2nd forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

6% (-8%)

Yes

94% (+8%)

No

-

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?

EQ made their 2nd forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

Forecast Window

2% (0%)

Yes

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2026

98% (0%)

No

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2026

Confirmed previous forecast

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

Will the sub-Saharan African governments listed (Angola, Kenya, Ethiopia, Nigeria) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?

EQ made their 2nd forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

12% (0%)

Angola

7% (0%)

Kenya

36% (0%)

Ethiopia

6% (0%)

Nigeria

Confirmed previous forecast

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

EQ made their 5th forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

0% (0%)

Kuwait

0% (0%)

Oman

0% (0%)

Qatar

0% (0%)

Saudi Arabia

0% (0%)

Tunisia

Confirmed previous forecast

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC

New Prediction

Will North Korea engage in kinetic military action against a South Korean vessel, island, or other asset south of the Northern Limit Line in the Yellow Sea in the next six months?

EQ made their 2nd forecast (view all):

Probability

Answer

Forecast Window

16% (0%)

Yes

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025

84% (0%)

No

Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025

Confirmed previous forecast

Files

Nov 19, 2024 06:38AM UTC