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46th
Accuracy Rank

EQ

About:

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All Time Stats

-0.345671

Relative Brier Score

246

Forecasts

2

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 31 237 195 246
Comments 0 0 2 2 2
Questions Forecasted 0 28 50 43 50
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 2 1 2
 Definitions

Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict, Iran: Threats & Influence, Science & Technology, Russia-Ukraine War, Artificial Intelligence

Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program, Iran-VNSAs, Mission: Diplomacy, Decoding Disinformation, Open RAN

New Prediction

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Files
New Prediction

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Files
New Prediction
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
EQ made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20% (+9%)
Yes
Sep 21, 2024 to Sep 21, 2025
80% (-9%)
No
Sep 21, 2024 to Sep 21, 2025

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Files
New Prediction
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
EQ made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
25% (-17%)
Yes
Sep 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2025
75% (+17%)
No
Sep 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2025

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Files
New Prediction
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
EQ made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
0% (0%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
0% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
EQ made their 8th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
Sep 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2025
97% (0%)
No
Sep 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
EQ made their 5th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
2% (0%)
Estonia
1% (0%)
Latvia
1% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

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Files
New Prediction
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
EQ made their 6th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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