Forecasted Questions
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 09:54PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Sep 30, 2024 09:54PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Dec 30, 2024 | 13% | -13% | +7% |
No | 100% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Dec 30, 2024 | 87% | +13% | -7% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 15, 2024 02:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 15, 2024 02:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 16% | 35% | -19% | +19% |
No | 84% | 65% | +19% | -19% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kharkiv | 16% | 3% | +13% | -1% |
Kyiv | 4% | 1% | +3% | +0% |
Odesa | 2% | 2% | +0% | 0% |
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 | Nov 29, 2024 | 1% | -1% | +0% |
No | 100% | Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 | Nov 29, 2024 | 99% | +1% | +0% |
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(7 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(7 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 60% | 7% | +53% | -6% |
No | 40% | 93% | -53% | +6% |
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 46% | 31% | +15% | -3% |
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 31% | 64% | -33% | +1% |
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 23% | 4% | +19% | +1% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 97% | 97% | +0% | +1% |
No | 3% | 3% | +0% | -1% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 12% | 5% | +7% | +0% |
No | 88% | 95% | -7% | +0% |
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 32% | 20% | +12% | -3% |
No | 68% | 80% | -12% | +3% |
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:01AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 | Nov 29, 2024 | 2% | -1% | -2% |
No | 99% | Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 | Nov 29, 2024 | 98% | +1% | +2% |