RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 09:23PM UTC
(2 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	4%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Oct 30, 2024	85%	-81%	+0%
No	96%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Oct 30, 2024	15%	+81%	+0%

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 09:32PM UTC
(2 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Moldova	20%	7%	+13%	+0%
Armenia	1%	1%	+0%	0%
Georgia	1%	3%	-2%	0%
Kazakhstan	1%	1%	+0%	0%

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 09:43PM UTC
(2 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	16%	Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	8%	+8%	+0%
No	84%	Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	92%	-8%	+0%

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 09:54PM UTC
(2 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	5%	-5%	+0%
No	100%	Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	95%	+5%	+0%

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