Forecasted Questions
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 10:56PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Sep 29, 2024 10:56PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 81% | Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025 | Dec 29, 2024 | 8% | +73% | +2% |
| No | 19% | Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025 | Dec 29, 2024 | 92% | -73% | -2% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 02:09AM UTC
(21 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 02:09AM UTC
(21 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 2% | +4% | 0% |
| No | 95% | 99% | -4% | 0% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 03:33PM UTC
(8 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 03:33PM UTC
(8 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 95% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 87% | +8% | +6% |
| No | 5% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 13% | -8% | -6% |