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DimaKlenchin

Dima Klenchin
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Forecasted Questions

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Nov 12, 2024 07:22PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2024 02:33PM UTC
(29 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Oct 26, 2024 to Apr 26, 2025 Nov 26, 2024 0%
No 99% Oct 26, 2024 to Apr 26, 2025 Nov 26, 2024 100%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2024 02:36PM UTC
(29 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 25% 20%
No 75% 80%

Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2024 02:36PM UTC
(29 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications 31% 31%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP 65% 64%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP 4% 4%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2024 02:36PM UTC
(29 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 1% 3%
Kyiv 0% 1%
Odesa 0% 2%

Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 12:45AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 25% 37%
No 75% 63%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 12:46AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 100% 97%
No 0% 3%

Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 01:02AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
No 100% 100%

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 01:03AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg) 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg) 0% 1%
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg) 100% 99%

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?

Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 01:03AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2025 Jan 28, 2025 0%

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
18 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 01:19AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%
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