Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 23, 2024 09:31AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Nov 23, 2024 09:31AM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0% | 2% | -2% | 0% |
| Latvia | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Forecast Count:
30 Forecasts
30 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 24, 2024 04:12PM UTC
(1 hour ago)
Nov 24, 2024 04:12PM UTC
(1 hour ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 7% | -7% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 93% | +7% | +0% |
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Forecast Count:
16 Forecasts
16 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 24, 2024 04:14PM UTC
(1 hour ago)
Nov 24, 2024 04:14PM UTC
(1 hour ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 5% | -4% | 0% |
| No | 99% | 95% | +4% | 0% |