99th
Accuracy Rank

DippySkippy

About:
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0.099189

Relative Brier Score

331

Forecasts

13

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 14 25 368 331 1445
Comments 0 0 1 1 566
Questions Forecasted 13 23 52 40 121
Upvotes on Comments By This User 1 1 17 13 93
 Definitions
New Prediction

Time

Files
New Prediction
DippySkippy
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
43% (+18%)
Yes
57% (-18%)
No

Ahead of Apple comfortably,  still seems some volatility ahead 

Files
New Prediction
DippySkippy
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20% (+15%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025
80% (-15%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025

Coma rumours are murky at best, still need to increase given age / base rates.

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
DippySkippy
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Less than or equal to 9%
4% (-2%)
Between 10% and 19%, inclusive
63% (-4%)
Between 20% and 29%, inclusive
30% (+7%)
Between 30% and 39%, inclusive
2% (-1%)
More than or equal to 40%

Adjusting based on US election. Ukraine will come under sustained pressure for ceasefire, will be hard to hold out until then, unlikely Germany/Europe going to step up and fill American void.

Files
New Prediction
DippySkippy
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8% (-8%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
92% (+8%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025

US election update

Files
New Prediction

Time

Files
New Prediction

Time

Files
New Prediction

Down on time and recent geo-political events

Files
New Prediction
DippySkippy
made their 9th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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