137th
Accuracy Rank

JJMLP

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Forecasted Questions

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 8% 5%
No 92% 95%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 2%
Latvia 1% 1%
Lithuania 1% 1%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 6% 8%
Armenia 1% 2%
Georgia 2% 4%
Kazakhstan 1% 2%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 22% 23%
No 78% 77%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 4% 4%
Kyiv 1% 1%
Odesa 1% 3%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 4%
No 99% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 96%

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 1%
No 99% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 99%

In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 6% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 6%
No 94% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 94%

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:11PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 0%
No 100% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 100%
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