Forecasted Questions
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 2% | 1% | +1% | +0% |
No | 98% | 99% | -1% | +0% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 8% | 5% | +3% | +0% |
No | 92% | 95% | -3% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Estonia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
Latvia | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Lithuania | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moldova | 6% | 8% | -2% | +0% |
Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
Georgia | 2% | 4% | -2% | +0% |
Kazakhstan | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 22% | 23% | -1% | +0% |
No | 78% | 77% | +1% | +0% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kharkiv | 4% | 4% | +0% | +0% |
Kyiv | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Odesa | 1% | 3% | -2% | +0% |
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 4% | -3% | +0% |
No | 99% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 96% | +3% | +0% |
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 1% | +0% | +0% |
No | 99% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 99% | +0% | +0% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:10PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 6% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 6% | +0% | -2% |
No | 94% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 94% | +0% | +2% |
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 04:11PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 04:11PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 0% | +0% | +0% |
No | 100% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 100% | +0% | +0% |