38th
Accuracy Rank

Perspectus

About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 21% 28%
No 79% 72%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
27 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 4%
No 99% Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 Dec 2, 2024 96%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 11%
No 100% 89%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username