Forecasted Questions
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 21% | 28% | -7% | +3% |
No | 79% | 72% | +7% | -3% |
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
27 Forecasts
27 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 4% | -3% | +0% |
No | 99% | Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025 | Dec 2, 2024 | 96% | +3% | +0% |
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Forecast Count:
28 Forecasts
28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Nov 02, 2024 02:09PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 11% | -11% | +0% |
No | 100% | 89% | +11% | +0% |