Forecasted Questions
What will be Germany’s net perception of Ukraine in the 2026 Munich Security Report?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 9% | 1% | 0% | +1% | 0% |
| Between 10% and 19%, inclusive | 11% | 19% | -8% | +0% |
| Between 20% and 29%, inclusive | 71% | 72% | -1% | +0% |
| Between 30% and 39%, inclusive | 16% | 8% | +8% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 40% | 1% | 0% | +1% | 0% |
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
27 Forecasts
27 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 40% | 33% | +7% | +0% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 55% | 64% | -9% | +0% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 5% | 3% | +2% | +0% |
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 11:31AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 11:31AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | Nov 5, 2024 to May 5, 2025 | Feb 5, 2025 | 5% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 95% | Nov 5, 2024 to May 5, 2025 | Feb 5, 2025 | 95% | +0% | +0% |
Will the sub-Saharan African governments listed (Angola, Kenya, Ethiopia, Nigeria) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 11:36AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 11:36AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola | 10% | 10% | +0% | +0% |
| Kenya | 10% | 9% | +1% | +0% |
| Ethiopia | 40% | 36% | +4% | +2% |
| Nigeria | 5% | 4% | +1% | +0% |
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Forecast Count:
24 Forecasts
24 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 11:38AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 11:38AM UTC
(12 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 24% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% | 3% | 6% | -3% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 28% | 97% | 92% | +5% | +0% |
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025, compared to the same period one year prior?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 11:51AM UTC
(11 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 11:51AM UTC
(11 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 5% | 5% | +0% | -2% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 30% | 26% | +4% | +7% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 25% | 27% | -2% | -4% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 25% | 29% | -4% | -6% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 15% | 13% | +2% | +5% |