Forecasted Questions
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Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:06PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:06PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025 | Apr 27, 2025 10:06PM | 1% | +0% | 0% |
| No | 99% | Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025 | Apr 27, 2025 10:06PM | 99% | +0% | 0% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:07PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:07PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 98% | +1% | +0% |
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:07PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:07PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo | 1% | 0% | +1% | 0% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:08PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:08PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025 | Apr 27, 2025 10:08PM | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025 | Apr 27, 2025 10:08PM | 99% | +1% | +0% |
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:08PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:08PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025 | Apr 27, 2025 10:08PM | 39% | +1% | 0% |
| No | 60% | Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025 | Apr 27, 2025 10:08PM | 61% | -1% | 0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(2 years from now)
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:10PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:10PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 5% | 7% | -2% | +0% |
| Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| Georgia | 1% | 4% | -3% | +0% |
| Kazakhstan | 1% | 1% | +0% | 0% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:12PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:12PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 98% | 98% | +0% | +0% |
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 days from now)
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2025 10:12PM
(20 hours ago)
Mar 27, 2025 10:12PM
(20 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 3% | -3% | -1% |
| No | 100% | 97% | +3% | +1% |