lower the probability
0.157506
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
66
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 30 | 390 | 66 | 869 |
| Comments | 0 | 3 | 27 | 7 | 113 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 26 | 79 | 35 | 157 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
New Badge
Star Commenter - Feb 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(-2%)
Yes
Feb 27, 2025 to Aug 27, 2025
97%
(+2%)
No
Feb 27, 2025 to Aug 27, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-8%)
Yes
85%
(+8%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Nvidia’s current trailing P/E ratio above 50 signals a lofty valuation that may concern some investors. The AI chip market is heating up, with rivals like Intel and AMD aggressively pursuing market share. The competitors such as Apple and Microsoft are really hard to overcome.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Nvidia has been a dominant force in the AI revolution, with its GPU serving as the backbone for AI applications. Currently, Nvidia’s role in the AI ecosystem is unmatched.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(-40%)
Yes
80%
(+40%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Many international development organizations have poured money to keep Egypt afloat. Its big role in the region means allies won't let it totally crash.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Sky-high inflation (38% in 2023) and a crashing pound are squeezing people hard. Debt’s a monster—$165 billion and counting—with half the budget just paying interest. Suez Canal cash is drying up thanks to Red Sea attacks, and Egypt’s hooked on pricey imports for food and fuel. One big shock could break it.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
23%
(0%)
Yes
77%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
decreasing a little bit since there is no significant news on that
Why might you be wrong?