Forecasted Questions
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 11:26PM UTC
(6 minutes ago)
Nov 18, 2024 11:26PM UTC
(6 minutes ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | Nov 18, 2024 to May 18, 2025 | Dec 18, 2024 | 7% | -4% | +0% |
| No | 97% | Nov 18, 2024 to May 18, 2025 | Dec 18, 2024 | 93% | +4% | +0% |