38th
Accuracy Rank

ansantillan

Andrés Santillán Reich
About:

Just graduated from university. I am currently an advisor on parliamentary diplomacy in the Mexican Senate. Interested in geopolitics mainly, however, I have growing interests in blockchain technology and new innovative techs. Trying to learn from the best.

LinkedIn
Show more
View All Badges »
Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 20 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 23, 2025 06:50AM UTC
(26 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 3%
Latvia 1% 2%
Lithuania 2% 3%

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 25 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 06, 2025 10:36PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026 Jan 6, 2026 0%
No 99% Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026 Jan 6, 2026 100%

Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 06, 2025 10:36PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications 1% 3%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP 98% 96%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP 1% 2%

Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 06, 2025 10:37PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Togo 0% 4%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations Answer was correct

Will North Korea engage in kinetic military action against a South Korean vessel, island, or other asset south of the Northern Limit Line in the Yellow Sea in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 06, 2025 10:37PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026 Jan 6, 2026 1%
No 99% Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026 Jan 6, 2026 99%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 06, 2025 10:37PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026 Jan 6, 2026 1%
No 99% Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026 Jan 6, 2026 99%

Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 10, 2025 02:48AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?

Forecast Count:
 14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 10, 2025 02:48AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 2%
No 99% 98%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 16 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 10, 2025 02:48AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 20% 17%
No 80% 83%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 16 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 10, 2025 02:49AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 3% 3%
No 97% 97%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel