They are heavily investing in AI
1.380324
Relative Brier Score
23
Forecasts
4
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 23 | 47 | 45 | 68 |
| Comments | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 23 | 30 | 28 | 39 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025
20%
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
They could have a less powerful AI software and processors
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
(0%)
Less than 24%
26%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
55%
(0%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
10%
(0%)
More than or equal to 28%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
85%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
15%
(0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
(0%)
Togo
76%
(0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
30%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
70%
(0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
60%
(0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
99%
(0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1%
(0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
(0%)
Yes
10%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
They are very strong in this market
Why might you be wrong?
IF a financial sudden crisis happen