151st
Accuracy Rank

apdl

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Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 1 23 47 45 68
Comments 1 3 3 3 3
Questions Forecasted 1 23 30 28 39
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 4
 Definitions
New Badge
apdl
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

They are very strong in this market

Files
Why might you be wrong?

IF a financial sudden crisis happen 

Files
New Badge
apdl
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
apdl
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025
20%
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

They are heavily investing in AI 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

They could have a less powerful AI software and processors

Files
New Prediction
apdl
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
9% (0%)
Less than 24%
26% (0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
55% (0%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
10% (0%)
More than or equal to 28%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
apdl
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
85% (0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
15% (0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
apdl
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
9% (0%)
Togo
76% (0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
apdl
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
30% (0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
70% (0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
apdl
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
30% (0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
60% (0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
99% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
apdl
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
90% (0%)
Yes
10% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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