little media coverage
1.543217
Relative Brier Score
45
Forecasts
4
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 3 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 45 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 3 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 37 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Open RAN,
Africa
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
85%
Yes
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
15%
No
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
Togo
76%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Togo will stabilize
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 02:11AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
30%
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
70%
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
china does no seek conflict at the moment
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
60%
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
99%
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1%
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
all venezuelas believe that essequibo belongs to them. it is in their textbooks, maps , since the 1880s.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
they innovate and bring great products
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 26, 2024 12:53AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
30%
Yes
Jun 26, 2024 to Dec 26, 2024
70%
No
Jun 26, 2024 to Dec 26, 2024
they will do proxy wars first
Files
Asia will continue to lead the market