highly unlikely
-0.096285
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Science & Technology,
Artificial Intelligence
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: AI Advancement,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 9, 2024 09:42PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Feb 9, 2024 to Mar 9, 2024
100%
No
Feb 9, 2024 to Mar 9, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
37%
Yes
63%
No
They will close.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
97%
No
It is unlikely but there is a small chance.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
Yes
96%
No
I think there is a decent chance that they raise an advisory but there would have to be a change in the situation.
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
it is somewhat likely