Forecasted Questions
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2024 05:03PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Sep 28, 2024 05:03PM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 24% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% | 11% | 22% | -11% | -4% |
| More than or equal to 28% | 89% | 77% | +12% | +4% |
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2024 08:38PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Sep 28, 2024 08:38PM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 23% | Sep 28, 2024 to Mar 28, 2025 | Oct 28, 2024 | 16% | +7% | +3% |
| No | 77% | Sep 28, 2024 to Mar 28, 2025 | Oct 28, 2024 | 84% | -7% | -3% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 03:51PM UTC
(8 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 03:51PM UTC
(8 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 11% | -6% | +0% |
| No | 95% | 89% | +6% | +0% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
33 Forecasts
33 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(5 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(5 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 93% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 84% | +9% | +2% |
| No | 7% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 16% | -9% | -2% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
35 Forecasts
35 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 06:20PM UTC
(5 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 06:20PM UTC
(5 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 87% | +7% | +2% |
| No | 6% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 13% | -7% | -2% |
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 08:56PM UTC
(3 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 08:56PM UTC
(3 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 54% | -7% | +2% |
| No | 53% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 46% | +7% | -2% |