Forecasted Questions
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
17 Forecasts
17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 03, 2024 05:51PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Nov 03, 2024 05:51PM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Nov 3, 2024 to May 3, 2025 | Feb 3, 2025 | 0% | +0% | 0% |
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 03:05AM UTC
(21 hours ago)
Nov 05, 2024 03:05AM UTC
(21 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | Nov 5, 2024 to May 5, 2025 | Dec 5, 2024 | 18% | -15% | -1% |
| No | 97% | Nov 5, 2024 to May 5, 2025 | Dec 5, 2024 | 82% | +15% | +1% |