This is likely to happen but the time remaining makes this unlikely
-0.003915
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Decoding Disinformation,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
97%
No
Files
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
The odds of this are negligible
Files
It's a significant possibility but I do not think it's currently likely