eiderdacosta

Despite the consequences, Israel has chosen a path of no return against Hezbollah, especially with regard to the recent events in Lebanon. This time, the likelihood is greater that Israel will declare war on the terrorist group.

My analysis takes into account that today (07/28/2024), the date of the Venezuelan elections, taking into account exit polls and the opposition group's large electoral advantage, making it difficult for Maduro to commit widespread fraud. This makes it more difficult for Maduro to be president in 2025.

Regarding the countries mentioned (Moldova, Armenia, Georgia and Kazakhstan), I believe there is little probability of a Russian invasion. First, Russia is focusing its efforts on the Ukrainian region, having little human or financial means to invade these countries. Second, it would be a great effort and an unproductive political drain to invade such countries, and it would bring little or no advantage to Russia.

As much as Putin does not deserve your trust, on some occasions he has peremptorily said that he would not invade any NATO member country. Emphasizing that the 3 countries in question are members of NATO and that a possible invasion could trigger extremely complex repercussions, I see the possibility of a Russian invasion of any of these 3 countries as being very low or zero.