There's a good chance that a North American Open Testing and Integration Center (OTIC) will issue an O-RAN Certificate between April 1, 2024 and March 31, 2025.
4.892561
Relative Brier Score
55
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 55 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 25 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
Future Bowl,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Mission: AI Advancement,
Decoding Disinformation,
Mission: Diplomacy
Active Forecaster
First-half revenue is likely to fall around 10% in U.S. dollar terms year-on-year,
In June last year, there was news that Microsoft would close the Asia Research Institute. According to reports, Beijing-based Microsoft Research Asia has begun seeking visas to move top AI experts from Beijing to its research institute in Vancouver. At the time, the company did not make a statement about the rumours. However, the company has now come out to say that this is not true.
Based on the current situation, I find it unlikely that Myanmar will hold truly free and fair national elections before July 1st, 2025. However, the junta might hold a controlled election earlier, depending on domestic and international pressures. They are more likely to prioritize consolidating their power and controlling the process than adhering to democratic principles.
Active Forecaster
the likelihood of a fab shutdown will depend on the specific circumstances that arise. However, TSMC is a critical supplier of semiconductors to the global electronics industry, and any shutdown of its fabs would have a significant impact on the world economy.
Here's an informed analysis on a potential collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance by October 1st, 2025:
Factors Suggesting Collaboration (Maybe):
Shifting Landscape: The telecommunications industry is increasingly embracing Open RAN for its flexibility and vendor neutrality. Huawei, a major player, might eventually need to adapt.
Chinese Influence: Some members of the O-RAN Alliance are Chinese companies, including China Mobile, a major Huawei client. This could open doors for future collaboration.
Against Collaboration (Probably):
Past Skepticism: Huawei has previously expressed doubts about Open RAN, potentially preferring its own proprietary solutions.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing tensions between the US and China could create hurdles for a formal collaboration.
No Recent Signs: As of May 1, 2024, there haven't been any concrete indications of Huawei joining the O-RAN Alliance.
Overall, a collaboration by October 2025 seems unlikely, but not entirely impossible.