I think they'll wait till 2023
1.251173
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Quantum Computing
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
14%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Could do badly and might need to raise equity sooner rather than later
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 10, 2022 11:27PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
Yes
Oct 10, 2022 to Nov 10, 2022
Why do you think you're right?
Want to show their military power
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Don't want to break the treaty
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
26%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Might need more people to use it before they start using it on a larger scale
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Might accelerate through phases quicker than predicted
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Growth of AI and quantum computing is very high
Why might you be wrong?
Might be slow because of certain economic cycle issues