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johnnycaffeine

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Jul 1, 2022 01:33PM By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO? -0.071696
    Jun 15, 2022 01:12PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Jul 2022 -0.008394
    Jun 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between May 3, 2022 and Jun 3, 2022) -0.000097
    Jun 2, 2022 01:40PM What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022? -0.043885
    May 31, 2022 03:08PM Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022? -0.00169
    May 25, 2022 02:09PM Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022? -0.000659
    May 15, 2022 01:00PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Jun 2022 -0.060048
    May 6, 2022 09:00PM What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022? -0.030523
    May 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 3, 2022 and May 3, 2022) -0.001427
    Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? -0.004812
    Apr 27, 2022 09:00PM When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD? -0.126608
    Apr 15, 2022 01:10PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - May 2022 -0.082163
    Apr 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 3, 2022 and Apr 3, 2022) -0.002942
    Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022? 0.09186
    Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022) -0.017752
    Feb 8, 2022 06:49AM Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022? 0.09349
    Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021? -0.03988
    Feb 1, 2022 05:00AM How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2021 H2 -0.017021
    Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022) -0.015239
    Jan 4, 2022 01:19PM How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021? -0.153713
     
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