Growing in popularity and 23 will see more overall patent activity due to post Covid considerations.
0.582192
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
Quantum Computing
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
Yes. He just consolidated Power. It will take 2-3 years of adverse economic circumstances to put his power and control into question. Could happen faster if he makes a move on Taiwan.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
54%
(-23%)
Yes
Increasingly the conduct of Russian military hardens western resolve against negotiations. That leaves Putins exit/removal as only viable option.
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2022 09:06PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Oct 6, 2022 to Nov 6, 2022
Why do you think you're right?
I don’t necessarily think I am right, just think there is a slight chance. Why, he is losing and his support is getting tenuous. The longer he waits the less likely it becomes as he will lose the opportunity to control the weapons over time as his support wains.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Again, I think the chance is slight but there definitely is a chance.
Files
Red wave will make most states back away from such policies. Only the true hard core liberal states with a history of democratic control of state government will move to adopt such policies