SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.

8th

Accuracy Rank

o-maverick

About:

Top Forecaster - Aug 2024

Oracle - Bronze

Top Forecaster - Jul 2024

Top Forecaster - Jun 2024

View All Badges »

Forecasted Questions

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(9 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	34%	25%	+9%	+0%
No	66%	75%	-9%	+0%

Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(8 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications	60%	39%	+21%	+1%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP	35%	56%	-21%	+0%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP	5%	5%	+0%	+0%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(8 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	15%	6%	+9%	+0%
No	85%	94%	-9%	+0%

Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(8 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	80%	44%	+36%	+2%
No	20%	56%	-36%	-2%

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(8 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	10%	Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	5%	+5%	+0%
No	90%	Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	95%	-5%	+0%

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(8 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	2%	-2%	0%
No	100%	99%	+2%	0%

Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 11:24PM UTC
(8 minutes ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	5%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	3%	+2%	+0%
No	95%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Dec 30, 2024	97%	-2%	+0%