I think that it is entirely possible as Iran has been provoking war in certain areas, but I do not know if it will ever be an official declared war
1.065816
Relative Brier Score
11
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 27 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 28, 2024 06:35PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
21%
Yes
Jan 28, 2024 to Jan 28, 2025
79%
No
Jan 28, 2024 to Jan 28, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
Yes
93%
No
I do not think there is a high chance of this happening by the end of 2023 because that would require the platforms to create lots of new features.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
Yes
93%
No
I do not think the price will get that expensive, but I do think it will continue to increase
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Less than or equal to 24
16%
Between 25 and 34, inclusive
32%
Between 35 and 44, inclusive
26%
Between 45 and 54, inclusive
16%
More than or equal to 55
I know that auto drivers are not very safe so I feel that this will happen
Files
I think Iran has become increasingly Hostile