Yifan

agree @Captbullett 

There has been a rise in coups in recent years, with seven African countries experiencing coups since 2020. It will be almost 100% to have another coup in the next six months, but I will set up the successful rate to 50% for the first prediction. 

Very likely given the recent vast financial support China has given to Africa

Source: https://www.brasildefato.com.br/2024/09/06/china-promises-to-expand-cooperation-with-africa-and-invest-us-51-4-billion-by-2027