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116th
Accuracy Rank

Chris-Chiu

Chris Chiu
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All Time Stats

0.320153

Relative Brier Score

12

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 12 12 12
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 11 11 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions

Most Active Topics:
Science & Technology, Artificial Intelligence, International Diplomacy & Conflict, Iran: Threats & Influence, Russia-Ukraine War

Most Active Topics:
Semiconductor Supply Chain, Decoding Disinformation, Mission: Diplomacy, Iran-VNSAs

New Prediction

houthis still running stong

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New Badge
Chris-Chiu earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Prediction

takes longer than until may

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New Prediction

adjusting rationale

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New Prediction

likely cos election year and stuff

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New Prediction

not going up that high lol

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New Prediction

rockets r happening

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New Prediction

NVIDIA still going up up up

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New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Chris-Chiu made their 1st forecast (view all):
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Apr 13, 2024 01:49AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Mar 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2024

Unlikely a war will happen in next 6 months. not much activity

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New Prediction

Unlikely that it will shut down - seems to be running fine

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