takes longer than until may
0.320353
Relative Brier Score
12
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Decoding Disinformation,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(-20%)
Yes
40%
(+20%)
No
adjusting rationale
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
likely cos election year and stuff
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
not going up that high lol
Files
New Prediction
rockets r happening
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
2023 Q2
0%
2023 Q3
0%
2023 Q4
0%
2024 Q1
0%
2024 Q2
NVIDIA still going up up up
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 13, 2024 01:49AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Mar 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2024
Unlikely a war will happen in next 6 months. not much activity
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Unlikely that it will shut down - seems to be running fine
Files
houthis still running stong