*
-1.539315
Relative Brier Score
2109
Forecasts
185
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 286 | 182 | 2109 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 867 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 39 | 22 | 131 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 185 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Microelectronics,
semiconductors,
Manufacturing,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
New Prediction
Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?
Columbus
quit this question on Apr 12, 2024 08:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(+9%)
Yes
Apr 12, 2024 to Oct 12, 2024
90%
(-9%)
No
Apr 12, 2024 to Oct 12, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
That makes a ton of sense! Looking forward to your future projects!!
Files
New Badge
Power Forecaster - Mar 2024
Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
Columbus
quit this question on Apr 1, 2024 09:07AM
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 749
0%
(0%)
Between 750 and 1499, inclusive
30%
(+20%)
Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive
70%
(-20%)
Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 3000
Bin 3 is possible
Files
New Prediction
Columbus
quit this question on Apr 1, 2024 09:07AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2024
98%
(0%)
No
Mar 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 25, 2024 01:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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