Confirmed previous forecast
0.315415
Relative Brier Score
49
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | 49 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Artificial Intelligence,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
U.S.-China ,
Russia-Ukraine War
Most Active Topics:
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Iran Nuclear Program,
semiconductors
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Oct 25, 2024 01:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 17, 2024 06:53PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Aug 17, 2024 to Feb 17, 2025
100%
(+1%)
No
Aug 17, 2024 to Feb 17, 2025
updated to 0
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 24, 2024 11:57PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 24, 2024 to Jan 24, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Jul 24, 2024 to Jan 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 24, 2024 04:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(+1%)
Yes
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024
99%
(-1%)
No
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024
i am following the crowd
Files
