Before attacking the U.S. forces, Iran will try to secure its regional power and neutralize the Israeli threat. A conflict with Israel will be very prolonged, so a war with the United States will be very difficult to occur in the next six months.
-0.000069
Relative Brier Score
13
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 7, 2024 08:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Aug 7, 2024 to Feb 7, 2025
100%
No
Aug 7, 2024 to Feb 7, 2025
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 7, 2024 to Aug 7, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Aug 7, 2024 to Aug 7, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
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0%
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Estonia
0%
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Latvia
0%
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Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
0%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
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0%
(0%)
Kharkiv
0%
(0%)
Kyiv
100%
(0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jul 5, 2024 to Jul 5, 2025
100%
No
Jul 5, 2024 to Jul 5, 2025
Ali Khamenei is the Supreme Leader of Iran and he is who dictates the destiny of the country, so no Iranian has the power to overthrow him. Moreover, the military will not let anyanything happen to the Ayatola, since he is their greatest support.
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Putin is a very strong leader and most Russians think that he is the right person to recover Russian power around the world. Putin represents the essence of the Russian macho, so most Russians will support him until they can.