Confirmed previous forecast
-0.256942
Relative Brier Score
25
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Open RAN
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 29, 2024 03:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
May 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
92%
(0%)
No
May 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 29, 2024 03:13PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
May 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
90%
(0%)
No
May 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 29, 2024 03:12PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
(-25%)
Yes
May 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
85%
(+25%)
No
May 29, 2024 to May 29, 2025
Cooler heads have prevailed after iranian embassy bombing
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 29, 2024 03:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
(-15%)
Yes
May 29, 2024 to Nov 29, 2024
85%
(+15%)
No
May 29, 2024 to Nov 29, 2024
Cooler heads appear to have prevailed after iranian embassy bombing
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
96%
(0%)
Yes
4%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-2%)
Yes
Trump.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Anti-china sentiment in US is high. Huawei has little incentive to pursue a market it probably be shut out of anyway.
Why might you be wrong?
Huawei may provide Open RAN support to gain market share in non-US markets, or as a checkbox selling point.