Confirmed previous forecast
0.199179
Relative Brier Score
16
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: AI Advancement
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Putin will rig the election to make sure he wins
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Putin may die
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Houthis will not stop red sea attacks
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Why do you think you're right?
The Houthis will continue to block transport of ships through the Red Sea.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The Houthis will stop blocking transport of ships through the Red Sea.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+30%)
Yes
0%
(-30%)
No
Japan just safely landed a moon mission yesterday
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
30%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
The oil companies will not want to take that risk
Why might you be wrong?
Houthi attacks may stop