The possibility exists, however it is a market that could be considered emerging and difficult to predict.
3.218858
Relative Brier Score
40
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 40 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 24 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Future Bowl,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: AI Advancement,
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Yes
50%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(+5%)
Yes
5%
(-5%)
No
It is most likely that he will be re-elected due to the dictatorship in that country.
only a coup d'état could change the situation
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
The situation in Venezuela has not changed, there is still a dictatorial regime that does not allow true democracy to be generated.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Estonia
1%
Latvia
1%
Lithuania
Due to the current context it would be unlikely that Russia would decide to take such aggressive actions, we must wait for the global context
Files
Realmente considero que la creación de un macrolenguaje depende de múltiples factores, entre ellos la necesidad de comunicar, por lo tanto ante una demanda cubierta de dicha necesidad es complejo que se establezca una modificación en los lenguajes primordiales.