Confirmed previous forecast
0.571996
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
11
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology,
Artificial Intelligence
Most Active Topics:
Open RAN,
Cybersecurity
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Kharkiv
5%
(0%)
Kyiv
5%
(0%)
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Moldova
20%
(0%)
Armenia
30%
(0%)
Georgia
40%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Estonia
5%
(0%)
Latvia
5%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Yes
35%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Kharkiv
5%
Kyiv
5%
Odesa
Russia is too weak with new US weapons
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Moldova
20%
Armenia
30%
Georgia
40%
Kazakhstan
As unaligned countries they are very good targets for Putin
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Estonia
5%
Latvia
5%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
The Russian military does not want to wage war against NATO
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Nato might deteriorate if Trump wins. An alliance with China might allow this
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
Yes
35%
No
Relations with China will deteriorate by October 2024 and Microsoft and other companies dealing with information will leave
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Chinese tend to be careless in this type of activity
Why might you be wrong?
they have extensive resources and might apply them.