Confirmed previous forecast
-0.008758
Relative Brier Score
36
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 36 | 36 | 36 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Iran-VNSAs,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Decoding Disinformation
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Sep 16, 2024 02:06AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 16, 2024 to Sep 16, 2024
100%
(0%)
No
Aug 16, 2024 to Sep 16, 2024
Files
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 6, 2024 03:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jun 6, 2024 to Dec 6, 2024
100%
No
Jun 6, 2024 to Dec 6, 2024
too soon
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
too soon
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
Why do you think you're right?
way it goes
Files
Why might you be wrong?
dunno
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 1, 2024 05:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
May 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
May 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
0%
(0%)
2024 Q1
1%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files