Confirmed previous forecast
0.433359
Relative Brier Score
41
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 30 | 26 | 41 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 02:31PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
0%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 02:29PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 12:23PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
100%
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Not yet with that timescale.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
WW3 starts (extremely unlikely)
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
0%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Current development in Gaza strip may cause reason for attack to those