No updates in this regard. Less than a month left.
0.160005
Relative Brier Score
171
Forecasts
12
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 3 | 25 | 171 | 171 | 171 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Questions Forecasted | 2 | 22 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Definitions |
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
99%
(+1%)
No
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
This forecast will expire on Jan 27, 2025
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 27, 2024 to Apr 27, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(-16%)
Yes
65%
(+16%)
No
Matching with crowd forecast.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
5%
(-5%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
95%
(+5%)
More than or equal to 28%
Updating.
Files
Confirming at the current percentage. Cairo talks have failed apparently. RepublicWorld
The Hindu