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Definitions |
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
3%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 12, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025
95%
(0%)
No
Nov 12, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-20%)
Yes
85%
(+20%)
No
Lowering.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files