Confirmed previous forecast
-0.00002
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 10 | 25 | 187 | 187 | 187 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 10 | 22 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
3%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 12, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025
95%
(0%)
No
Nov 12, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-20%)
Yes
85%
(+20%)
No
Lowering.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files