Gralandia

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I love to make predictions.

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All Time Stats

0.067815

Relative Brier Score

10

Forecasts

0

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Forecasting Activity
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 
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 Definitions

Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict, Iran: Threats & Influence, Artificial Intelligence, Science & Technology, Russia-Ukraine War

Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy, Iran Nuclear Program, Mission: AI Advancement, Future Bowl, Iran-VNSAs

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New Prediction
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Gralandia made their 1st forecast (view all):
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Jan 4, 2024 03:57AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Dec 4, 2023 to Jun 4, 2024
99%
No
Dec 4, 2023 to Jun 4, 2024

Israel won't normalize a bit the relationships with Hamas. 


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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

he's still quite popular even after the Wagner events.  And he has power to stay there.

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Why might you be wrong?

His power is probably less stable than it seems to me. Some kind of event could make the country too unstable and demand a head figure change.



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