Maduro, as many other men in power worldwide, is very obsessed of his political position. He is going to do everything he can to stand on Venezuela's chair.
0.098208
Relative Brier Score
12
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Science & Technology,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation,
Iran-VNSAs,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
30%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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There are only 14 hours to go for this to happen...
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 31, 2024 01:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
(0%)
Yes
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
Frequently new planets are being discovered.
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Why might you be wrong?
Planets where life as we know can exists are rare.
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 30, 2024 01:17PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
(0%)
Yes
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
20%
(0%)
No
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 30, 2024 05:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Apr 30, 2024 to Oct 30, 2024
Iran is not going to agree to limit uranium in short term, considering conflicts that had been involved against Israel.
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While tensions remain high, a full-scale declaration of war by Israel on Hezbollah in the next six months is not the most likely outcome unless there's a significant escalation, such as a sustained attack by Hezbollah on Israeli targets or a broader regional conflict involving Iran. Israel will likely continue its current strategy of preemptive strikes and deterrence, while Hezbollah may engage in limited provocations rather than full-scale war.
However, unpredictable factors, such as domestic political pressures in Israel or Lebanon, unexpected military incidents, or Iranian involvement, could tip the balance. The situation remains volatile, but cautious restraint on both sides suggests an all-out war is not the most probable scenario in the short term.